Everybody. Listen up. Get over yourselves. It’s not about you. It’s not even about you and your friends. We have a country to run here folks. And if we don’t pay attention, we take it up the feckin’ arse. I know that not everyone can pay attention to every aspect of government, but we need to atleast give riding the beast a shot.
We need to stop being so focused on single issues that when the issue is settled we dust off our hands and go back to American Idol. From this morning’s New York Times:
Even with all the attention devoted to Connecticut”s Democratic primary, in which Ned Lamont upset Senator Joseph Lieberman, turnout was an anemic 43 percent. It was arguably the most important race in the nation and not even half of registered Democrats bothered to vote. This group in turn made up barely 15 percent of the voting-age population of the state.
The unhappy effects of low turnout are clear: ever-greater polarization in the country and in Washington, which in turn has led to ever-more rancor and ever-less legislative progress.
Here”s why. With participation rates of about 10 percent or less of the eligible electorate in many primaries to 35 percent or so in midterm general elections to 50 percent or 60 percent in presidential contests, the name of the game for parties is turnout – and the key to success is turning out one”s ideological base. Whichever party does a better job getting its base to the polls reaps the rewards of majority status.
And what”s the best way to get your base to show up at the polls? Focus on divisive issues that underscore the differences between the parties.
Not surprisingly, the partisan divide keeps increasing. Just look at Tuesday”s results: Mr. Lieberman, a centrist, was unseated by Mr. Lamont, a darling of the left; in Michigan, Joe Schwarz, a moderate Republican congressman, was beaten by Tim Walberg, a bedrock conservative. It”s no wonder that when Republicans and Democrats finally arrive in Washington, there”s little incentive for them to do the nation”s business.
Pay attention to those numbers folks.
I’m having difficulty finding the raw (actual vote tallies) numbers for the primary, but I did find one news story that said Lieberman lost by 10,000 votes which translates into 1 percentage point equals 2,500 votes cast.
Lamont”s total (52 percent) becomes 130,000 (126,924 according to the Secretary of State’s Office)and Lieberman’s total (48 percent) becomes 120,000 (114,494). That means that a quarter million voters turned out on Tuesday. If that voter turn out represent 43 percent of the registered Democrats, that means that 331,400 Democrats stayed home.
[Update — 1005, Jill provided me the link to the Secretary of State’s page (Duh! Why didn’t I think of that) for the actual vote tallie. My estimates were close enough that I’m not going to redo the numbers. Feel free to do so yourself.]
I recognize that the numbers are skewed by Republicans and Independents who voted as Democrats in the primary, but I can’t find numbers for them yet.
Taking Ornstein”s numbers one more step, he writes that the 250,000 voters represent only 15 percent of the voting age population of the state. That works out to 1 percent equals approximately 17,000 (16,667) voters or a total voter population of 1.7 million.
Even if we randomly decide that the split of registered voters is 45 percent Democrat (581,400 voters), 45 percent Republican (581,400 voters) and 10 percent Independent (129,200 voters) in the state, that gives us a total registered vote population of 1,292,000. That leaves nearly half a million (408,000) voters, or 24 percent, not even registered.
I’ve made a number of assumptions here that could be wrong, but in the absence of precise figures these are the numbers that I come up with and they’re disgusting.
Why would 1-in-4 citizens of Connecticut (and I have no reason to believe this is not true in every other state) not even bother to register to vote?
There was a time, not so long ago, that people died in this country for the right to exercise the franchise.
We really do deserve the government we get.
My Soundtrack: Sour Shores by Portastatic on WOXY.