BLUFF AND BLUSTER…
0928 by Jeff Hess[Update — 1408, 3 April — Via Daily Dish comes these two links to more indepth information on the Hoot torpedo/missile, including video and data on the Russian connection.]
I spent the waning months of 1979 sailing in the Gulf of Oman on board the U.S.S. Bainbridge, CGN-25. We feared the Iranians would hit us with one of the air-launched Harpoon missiles we’d sold the Shaw. We came within 30-seconds of taking out an Iranian P3-Orion (which we’d also sold to them) that we suspected of carrying such a missile.
Now a generation, and two more Gulf wars, later the Iranians are claiming a new naval threat: the Hoot (Farsi for whale) underwater missile. The Iranians claim that the missile has a phenomenal underwater speed of 224 miles per hour. If such a missle were fired from the Iranian coast it would take it only 5.65 minutes seconds to cross the 21-mile wide Strait of Hormuz that the Bainbridge had been guarding.
Given any target would most likely be somewhere in the middle of the strait, you can cut that to 2.82 minutes from launch to impact. If the people in the sonar room heard the launch of such a missile the potential moment of contact would be less than the three-minute standard for a warship to get to battle stations. Even in a wartime steaming condition, the crew would be cutting it close.
Couple that with the fact that approximately 25 percent of the world’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, and you can safely, I believe, assume that the the Iranians will never be allowed to manufacture, let alone deploy such a missile. And Iran knows that.
Which leads me to believe that today’s announcements are the Iranian equivalent of North Korea’s own saber rattling; a further desperate attempt to stave off a regime-ending invasion by the United States.
Most Americans are unaware of how close Iran came to being hammered under the full might of the United States during Gulf Wars, Part I (1979-80). Then President Jimmy Carter had made it clear to those in power in Iran that if a single embassy hostage was killed, there would be no quarter given. The United States would descend upon and crush the Iranian military and government with overwhelming force akin to the actions in Gulf Wars, Part II (1990-91) and Part III (2003-?).
Anyone who thinks that we’re too stretched to take on such an invasion isn’t paying attention. Invasions are easy. Occupations are hard. We don’t need to occupy Iran to emiliminate its war making capabilities.
And President George Bush still has three years left.
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